1,The ideal candidate is an address, that participated in previous airdrops and did one of the following:
A, staked the tokens they received(possibly even bought more)
B, held on to the token (did not sell)
We can query recipients of previous airdrop events and identify (step1)
(A by): the same address after the event (say in next two weeks) deposited at least half of the relevant token balance to a relevant pool address (more like 47% to account for conversion costs if we suppose they swapped first) (step2)
(B by): addresses in (step1), but not in (step2) excluding addresses where the relevant balance did decrease by at least the airdropped amount (step3)