Ethereum - ETH Merge: Selling Event?
ETH from miner overtime
- From Jul 1 to Sep 29, 2022, total ETH volume from miners only exceeded 20K on a handful of days. And most recent days were right around the merge, Sep 14 & Sep 15, 2022, before dropped to below 2K after the merge.
Below to the end of this dashboard, I focused on miners who transferred ETH on Sep 14 & 15, 2022.
Miner balance
- These miners are the miners who transferred ETH on Sep 14 & 15, 2022 (only 43 miners have records in table
ethereum.core.ez_current_balances
). % Change
= (Current
/Before the merge
- 1) * 100
Balance type | Before the merge | Current | % Change |
---|---|---|---|
Median | 114 | 7 | -93.86% |
TP80 | 1920 | 183 | -90.47% |
Max | 13525 | 8747 | -35.33% |
- As seen in the table above, median, TP80, & max balance has decreased 94%, 90%, & 35%.
Approach
- I look at the trend of ETH from miners who produced block between Jul 1 and Sep 14, 2022. Then focus on miners who transferred ETH on Sep 14 & 15 which had volume spike.
- I compare the miners current ETH balance vs average ETH balance before the merge (Jan 1 - Sep 13, 2022) to see how different of their current balance vs before the merge.
- Then I look at swap & transfer to CEX volume of addresses which received ETH from miners since Sep 14, 2022.
Key highlights
-
From Jul 1 to Sep 29, 2022, total ETH volume from miners only exceeded 20K on a handful of days. And most recent days were right around the merge, Sep 14 & Sep 15, 2022, before dropped to below 2K after the merge.
-
Miners’ median, TP80, & max balance has decreased 94%, 90%, & 35%.
-
Since Sep 14, 2022, of 46K ETH received from miners, 1.5K has been swapped, 1.6K has been transferred to CEX.
-
Top 5 addresses received from 568 to 2.6K ETH from miners.
Conclusion
Miners increased ETH transfer out which caused 80% of miners’ balance drop roughly 90% right around the merge. After transferring ETH out, we can see part of ETH has been swapped and transferred to CEX to trade. → ==it appears that the merge is a selling event for the most recent active miners.==