Owentell | Flipside Analyst

    Owentell

    Joined Jun 16, 2021
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    47Upvotes
    12. [Easy] Guzzling Gas

    12. [Easy] Guzzling Gas

    Dec 21, 2021 - This dashboard looks at different metrics of users withdrawing liquidity from SushiSwap liquidity pools. SushiSwap is a hard fork of Uniswap, and is a decentralized exchange on the Ethereum network. The first metric looks at the daily gas fees paid by users withdrawing liquidity. The amount of fees has varied widely over time, and recently peaked on November 10th, 2021, where about $46,000 of fees were paid. Interestingly, the days where a higher amount of fees were paid do not usually coincide with a higher number of withdrawals, suggesting that large LP removals with high gas costs are the cause of most spikes in fees paid. The next metric looked at is the daily number of LP withdrawals. Besides a massive spike in the middle of September 2020, the number of removals has remained largely stable, at around 200 to 400 daily. This is a good sign for SushiSwap, as it means there have not been recent events that have cause liquidity providers to lose confidence in the protocol and remove LP en masse. This was not the case in September of 2020, when users made over 2000 withdrawals on a single day. This was due to a rug pull by SushiSwap's anonymous founder, Chef Nomi, causing users to panic. He later returned the money and continues to work with SushiSwap to this day. The last metric looked at in this dashboard is the daily average gas price versus the daily number of withdrawals. In general, it seems that gas price spikes cause a decrease in the number of LP withdrawals.

    Owentell
    95. [Galactic Punks] Traders & Collectors

    95. [Galactic Punks] Traders & Collectors

    Oct 27, 2021 - This dashboard looks at multiple metrics of the new Galactic Punks NFT's and their owners. Galactic Punks are a series of space themed NFT's on the Terra Blockchain. In fact, they are the first collection of NFT's to be minted on Terra. The collection has a total of 10,921 randomly generated NFT's. They were released on October 2nd 2021 and sold out in only 8 minutes. As of 10/29/21 there are 4,926 distinct owners of the Galactic Punk collection, meaning each person has an average of about 2 of the NFT's. The next metric looked at was the number of NFT's owned by the addresses with the most NFT's. The address currently holding the most has a whopping 141 of them, more than 10% of the entire collection. The next highest has 100 of the NFTs, and then it begins to drop sharply from there, with the third highest holding 47 of them. The final metric I looked at was who the highest frequency traders of Galactic Punks are. To calculate this, I first found the count of the number of transfers of the NFT's they have completed so far, and then added to that count the number of times they ordered Galactic Punks from RandomEarth, a NFT marketplace on Terra. The address with the highest number of transactions had 720, and the second highest had 496. Unsurprisingly, many of the addresses with the highest number of NFT's were also on the list of addresses with the highest number of transactions. Interestingly enough, the address currently holding 141 NFT's was not on the list of those with the highest transactions, suggesting they have not sold many if at all of them and seem to solely be adding to their collection. Credit: Some of the code for finding the addresses currently holding GP NFT's was sourced from brian_#3619 on Discord

    Owentell
    117. [Hard] Terrarbitage, Part 1

    117. [Hard] Terrarbitage, Part 1

    Dec 16, 2021 - This dashboard looks at arbitrage opportunities in respect to bLUNA and LUNA price fluctuations over time. bLUNA, or bonded LUNA, is LUNA that has been bonded utilizing the Anchor protocol, and in theory should be worth almost the same as LUNA, despite a small discount accounting for the fact that it is bonded for 21 days. In reality, this is not the case, as increases in LUNA's price can lead to a larger price difference than intended. This opens the door for arbitrage opportunities, as users can swap their LUNA for the cheaper bonded LUNA, and then swap back once the exchange rate stabilizes. The first graph in this dashboard looks at the daily LUNA and bLUNA prices in USD. While we can see that there's a miniscule difference, it's hard to see much from tis graph as the prices are so similar. Since there's usually only very small price differences between LUNA and bLUNA, the next graph looks the daily price difference between the two. While most days have little difference, some days stand out, such as September 23rd of 2021, where the price of bLUNA was about $1.40 higher than LUNA. In this case, only someone already holding bLUNA could take advantage of the opportunity, as swapping from bLUNA to LUNA would yield a higher amount of LUNA than normal. The next graph looks at the percent difference in LUNA and bLUNa price. The price difference on September 23rd was a staggering 7%, with the next highest differences only around 4%. Interestingly, looking at both of these graphs, we can see that the largest arbitrage opportunities involve a higher bLUNA price compared to LUNA. This means that users can earn the most by swapping from bLUNA to LUNA, so when swapping from LUNA to bLUNA, it may make sense to hold the bLUNA until a high arbitrage opportunity occurs. The average daily percent difference in bLUNA and LUNA price is .2426%. The possible APR scenarios from arbitrage depend on the amount of compounding over the year, or how often advantageous trades from bLUNA to LUNA are made. Using the average price difference, we can assume each trade would net an increase of about .2426% of the LUNA traded. If a user made an advantageous trade every month, the APR would be ((1 + .002426)^12 - 1), or about 3%. Now if we change that to every week, the APR would be ((1 + .002426)^52 - 1), 13%, or every day, (1 + .002426)^365 - 1, 142%. This is assuming the trader started with a certain amount of LUNA, let's say 50, and then used that amount plus the gain from each previous trade on each subsequent trade. Looking at these numbers, we can see that if arbitrage opportunities in the bLUNA and LUNA price difference are taken often, a large amount of LUNA can be made.

    Owentell
    112. [Easy] Who Validates the Validators

    112. [Easy] Who Validates the Validators

    Dec 15, 2021 - This dashboard looks at different metrics of Terra validators, and more specifically, what defines an excellent validator. As one might guess, validators validate transactions on the Terra network, but they also have a major role in governance. LUNA holders can stake their tokens to validators, and the validator gets voting power proportional to the amount of LUNA staked to it. In return, the LUNA staker earns a percentage of the revenue the validator generates. This revenue comes from computing fees, stability fees, seignorage rewards, and swap fees. There are two main metrics that a Terra user can look at to decide which validator to delegate to, uptime and commission. Uptime is the amount of time the validator will be running, ideally 100%, and commission is how much of a commission the validator takes, so the lower the better. Another metric to look at is how much self-bonded LUNA the validator has, as more represents more of a stake in the ecosystem. The top 5 validators in terms of voting power as of now are Staking Fund, Orion.Money, B-Harvest, DokiaCapital, and Certus One. Looking at the graph in this dashboard, we can see that Staking Fund and Orion.Money are far above the others in terms of voting power and are currently head-to-head. So, what makes Terra users delegate to these validators over others? All of these top 5 validators currently have a commission of less than 10%, with Staking Fund and Certus One having a 10% commission, and the others having a 5% commission. In addition, each of them has an uptime of 100%, meaning they are constantly active and earning rewards. Interestingly, self-delegation does not seem to be a contributing factor in choosing validators, as the top validator, Staking Fund, has only .02% self-bonded, and Orion.Money has 0.0% self-bonded. In conclusion, the most important metrics in choosing validators seem to be an exceedingly high uptime, ideally 100%, and a commission of 10% or less, with not much thought given to self-delegation.

    Owentell
    19. [Hard] Wen Sushi moon?

    19. [Hard] Wen Sushi moon?

    Dec 24, 2021 - This graph looks at different metrics of SUSHI price versus other decentralized exchanges, to determine whether SUSHI is a good investment. In my opinion, a good coin to invest in rises in price as the adoption/usage of its protocol increases. I first wanted to look at how the price of SUSHI compared to the volume on Sushiswap and the number of swaps completed. The price of SUSHI did not correlate much with volume on the platform, although it did somewhat correlate to the number of swaps completed. Interestingly, even though the number of swaps has recently increased, the price of SUSHI has decreased. I next looked at how the price of UNI, the token of the Uniswap exchange, compared to the number of swaps competed on the platform. The price of UNI is heavily correlated to the number of swaps on the platform, which is a good sign. However, both the price of UNI and number of swaps has seen a heavy downtrend over the last year, which does not make it an appealing investment. The last coin I looked at was the CRV coin, the price of which has actually been inversely correlated to the number of swaps completed. Even though the number of swaps has been steadily declining, the price of CRV has substantially increased over the last few months. This means that the price may see a correction soon, as it's increase is not actually tied to an increase in number of users on the platform. These factors make me hesitant to recommend any of these coins as a good investment.

    Owentell